Model: Utilities Live

Performance 1/1/00 - 8/20/17
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Investment Approach
Optimize Backtest
Performance Versus Benchmark 1/1/00 to 8/20/17
Strategy Overall Bench Overall Strategy TTM Bench TTM
Abs. Return 705.1% 275.2% 7.7% 12.1%
Rel. Return 430.0% N/A -4.4% N/A
Beta 0.73 N/A 0.97 N/A
Ann. Volatility 16.3% 18.9% 13.4% 13.5%
Sharpe 0.81 0.49 0.62 0.92
Drawdown -34.6% -52.3% -10.1% -9.8%
IR 0.38 N/A -1.36 N/A
Tracking Error 10.3% N/A 3.0% N/A
Historical Summary
1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 5 Yr 10 Yr
Ann. Return 7.7% 11.0% 11.6% 12.1% 10.4%
Ann. Volatility 13.5% 14.8% 15.2% 14.1% 15.9%
Performance Attribution
Risk/Return versus benchmark
Monthly Return Comparison Trailing 12 Months
Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Total
Strategy -0.2% 0.8% -5.8% 4.7% 2.3% 3.1% 1.2% -0.3% 2.9% -3.2% 2.0% 2.1% 7.7%
Benchmark 0.4% 0.9% -5.4% 4.9% 1.3% 5.3% -0.1% 0.8% 4.1% -2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 12.1%
Rel. Return -0.6% -0.1% -0.3% -0.2% 1.0% -2.2% 1.3% -1.0% -1.2% -0.5% -0.5% -0.3% -4.4%
  
Perspective on Performance

Model: Utilities Live

Strategy Performance Analysis by Neuravest
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Performance Report
Performance Chart
Correlation
Beta
Exposure
  
  
Cross Validation Statistics
Cross Validation Performance
Cross Validation Daily Return Distributions
  
Simulation Settings
Strategy Settings
Module:Optimizer
Date of report: 2/13/19 9:26 AM
Date Range: 1/1/00-8/20/17
Generated by: Lucena Strategies
Benchmark: XLU
Target Leverage: 1.0
Transaction Cost Modeling:
Leverage1.0
Short Borrowing3.5%
Slippage ModeSpecify a bps value
Slippage0 bps
Rebalancing:
FrequencyEvery 10 Days
Preferred Day Tuesday
Exit Criteria Settings:
Stop Loss 12.00%
Max Gain N/A
Portfolio Stop Loss N/A
Portfolio Max Gain N/A
Both Up or Down met Use Balance Exit
Optimize Settings:
Lookback 3 Months
Minimum Cash Percentage 0.0
Minimum Cash Remaining 0.0
Portfolio Type Long Only
Risk Level 0 - Conservative
Forecast Settings:
Forecast Method Historical Average
  
Performance Metrics
Transaction Cost:
Commissions ($0.004 per share, $2.95 min per trade)$93,222
Slippage$168,907
Borrowing Costs$0
Total Transaction Costs$262,128

Transaction Analysis:
Number of Transactions 4,762
Average Trade Hold Days (Weighted) 109.00 (N/A)
% Successful Transactions (Weighted) 68.4% (N/A)
% Hit Stop Loss 11.4%
% Hit Stop Gain 0.0%
Profit Ratio N/A
Monthly Performance Metrics:
Days of Outperformance N/A
Months of Outperformance51.9%
Most Consecutive Months of Outperformance10
Most Consecutive Months of Underperformance5
Benchmark Relative Metrics:
Beta0.73
Information Ratio0.38
Annualized Tracking Error10.3%
Performance Metrics:
Portfolio Return Sharpe Sortino Alpha Ann. Volatilty Max DrawDown
Fund705.1%0.811.13 5.06 16.3% -34.6%
Benchmark275.2%0.490.66 0.00 18.9% -52.3%
Portfolio Initial Adjusted Final Adjusted Return Compound Annual Return
Fund$1,492K$12,010K$10,518K 12.6%
Benchmark$1,492K$5,596K$4,105K 7.8%
  
Performance Metrics By Year
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
ReturnStrategy 44.0% 9.1% 10.1% 17.1% 16.4% 11.1% 16.0% 10.5% -16.5%
Benchmark 25.6% -13.0% -28.8% 26.5% 23.6% 16.4% 20.9% 18.4% -28.9%
Winning DaysStrategy 52.6% 55.6% 52.4% 54.0% 55.2% 58.3% 53.8% 55.8% 47.4%
Benchmark 50.4% 51.2% 48.0% 55.3% 56.8% 57.8% 53.4% 59.6% 49.2%
SharpeStrategy 1.73 0.57 0.53 1.17 1.56 0.91 1.25 0.71 -0.57
Benchmark 1.11 -0.64 -0.89 1.50 1.84 1.12 1.75 1.06 -0.74
SortinoStrategy 2.96 0.73 0.78 1.86 2.47 1.31 2.13 0.93 -0.81
Benchmark 1.87 -0.99 -1.27 2.10 2.70 1.52 2.96 1.34 -1.12
Max DDStrategy -16.2% -13.9% -24.3% -13.2% -8.1% -10.3% -9.3% -12.5% -24.9%
Benchmark -15.9% -17.8% -45.1% -17.6% -8.6% -11.9% -7.6% -11.7% -39.7%
AlphaStrategy 0.30 0.17 0.28 -0.03 -0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 0.00
Benchmark 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ann. VolatiltyStrategy 22.6% 18.5% 22.8% 14.2% 10.0% 12.4% 12.6% 16.0% 25.8%
Benchmark 22.9% 19.2% 32.3% 16.5% 11.9% 14.4% 11.3% 17.4% 36.9%
Tracking ErrorStrategy N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Benchmark N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
ReturnStrategy -16.5% 13.7% 14.1% 20.6% 1.6% 12.9% 32.3% -4.9% 15.4% 10.3%
Benchmark -28.9% 11.7% 5.3% 19.6% 1.0% 13.1% 28.7% -4.9% 16.1% 14.0%
Winning DaysStrategy 47.4% 52.4% 52.8% 52.8% 46.8% 54.8% 54.4% 52.4% 57.9% 57.2%
Benchmark 49.2% 52.2% 52.8% 54.7% 50.0% 54.4% 56.2% 54.0% 56.3% 55.4%
SharpeStrategy -0.57 0.80 1.04 1.31 0.21 1.03 2.10 -0.20 0.99 1.63
Benchmark -0.74 0.65 0.42 1.16 0.16 1.06 1.93 -0.21 1.03 2.23
SortinoStrategy -0.81 1.14 1.59 1.97 0.35 1.62 3.39 -0.26 1.24 2.56
Benchmark -1.12 0.98 0.61 1.66 0.25 1.67 3.06 -0.28 1.26 3.67
Max DDStrategy -24.9% -21.5% -7.5% -10.6% -9.2% -12.4% -9.5% -16.8% -13.0% -6.0%
Benchmark -39.7% -24.5% -9.4% -11.3% -9.9% -12.0% -9.2% -15.7% -12.4% -5.0%
AlphaStrategy 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.00 -0.00 -0.03
Benchmark 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ann. VolatiltyStrategy 25.8% 18.0% 13.4% 15.2% 9.9% 12.6% 13.8% 17.3% 15.7% 9.8%
Benchmark 36.9% 20.2% 15.0% 16.6% 9.6% 12.3% 13.5% 17.0% 15.7% 9.5%
Tracking ErrorStrategy N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Benchmark N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
  
Monthly Return to Benchmark By Year
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2000 Strategy 6.6% -10.3% 6.7% 11.6% 2.9% -6.5% 4.5% 11.5% 7.8% -5.1% 7.3% 2.7% 44.0%
Benchmark 0.7% -12.2% 11.1% 6.5% -0.2% -3.4% 1.6% 3.8% 13.2% 5.8% -0.0% -1.4% 25.6%
Relative Return 6.0% 1.9% -4.4% 5.1% 3.1% -3.1% 2.9% 7.7% -5.4% -10.9% 7.4% 4.0% 18.4%
 
2001 Strategy -10.7% 7.5% 3.7% 2.8% 4.0% 0.8% -4.6% 3.1% -1.8% 0.0% 0.4% 5.0% 9.1%
Benchmark -5.6% 2.1% -1.4% 4.8% 0.7% -5.0% -0.9% -3.6% -1.0% -5.3% -1.3% 3.2% -13.0%
Relative Return -5.1% 5.4% 5.1% -2.0% 3.3% 5.8% -3.7% 6.6% -0.8% 5.3% 1.6% 1.8% 22.2%
 
2002 Strategy -1.4% 3.4% 8.0% 3.8% -0.7% -2.8% -6.3% 0.5% -4.1% 5.2% -1.5% 6.4% 10.1%
Benchmark -3.6% -0.2% 5.3% -6.1% -0.8% -6.7% -14.7% 4.0% -12.1% -2.3% 2.9% 3.2% -28.8%
Relative Return 2.2% 3.6% 2.7% 9.9% 0.2% 3.9% 8.4% -3.5% 8.1% 7.5% -4.4% 3.2% 38.8%
 
2003 Strategy -3.3% -2.6% 4.0% 3.8% 7.4% 0.7% -4.7% 2.0% 4.4% 1.9% 0.1% 2.8% 17.1%
Benchmark -2.3% -5.3% 5.1% 8.6% 10.1% 1.4% -6.7% 2.0% 5.0% 0.7% 0.2% 6.6% 26.5%
Relative Return -0.9% 2.8% -1.0% -4.8% -2.7% -0.6% 2.0% 0.0% -0.5% 1.2% -0.2% -3.8% -9.4%
 
2004 Strategy -0.6% 0.1% 1.5% -3.3% 0.1% 3.1% 1.5% 3.3% -0.4% 1.9% 4.8% 3.6% 16.4%
Benchmark 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% -4.3% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 4.1% 0.6% 4.9% 4.5% 2.5% 23.6%
Relative Return -2.7% -1.8% 0.4% 1.0% -1.1% 1.3% 0.0% -0.8% -1.0% -2.9% 0.3% 1.1% -7.2%
 
2005 Strategy 0.3% 1.0% 1.9% 0.2% 4.4% 4.7% 0.8% -0.5% 2.2% -5.5% 0.9% 0.5% 11.1%
Benchmark 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 3.1% -0.1% 6.0% 2.2% 0.7% 4.2% -6.4% -0.2% 0.9% 16.4%
Relative Return -1.9% -1.1% 0.8% -2.9% 4.5% -1.2% -1.5% -1.2% -2.0% 0.9% 1.1% -0.4% -5.3%
 
2006 Strategy 1.9% -1.7% -3.0% 0.7% 2.3% 0.2% 3.5% 2.4% -2.3% 5.3% 4.2% 1.8% 16.0%
Benchmark 2.4% 1.3% -4.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.3% 4.8% 2.7% -1.5% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 20.9%
Relative Return -0.6% -3.0% 1.7% -0.9% 0.7% -2.1% -1.3% -0.4% -0.8% -0.0% 1.6% 0.9% -4.9%
 
2007 Strategy -0.1% 2.9% 3.3% 3.1% -0.1% -6.6% -3.3% 1.2% 1.5% 5.1% 2.2% 1.5% 10.5%
Benchmark -0.4% 5.3% 3.6% 4.9% 0.5% -4.7% -4.0% 1.6% 3.8% 6.7% 0.7% -0.2% 18.4%
Relative Return 0.2% -2.4% -0.3% -1.8% -0.6% -1.8% 0.7% -0.4% -2.4% -1.6% 1.5% 1.6% -7.9%
 
2008 Strategy -7.5% -1.0% -0.8% 7.7% 0.4% -3.4% -1.3% 5.0% -3.3% -15.7% 5.1% -1.1% -16.5%
Benchmark -7.3% -4.1% 1.6% 5.1% 3.6% -0.7% -6.4% -1.1% -11.0% -13.0% 4.2% -2.4% -28.9%
Relative Return -0.1% 3.1% -2.4% 2.6% -3.2% -2.7% 5.2% 6.1% 7.7% -2.7% 0.9% 1.3% 12.4%
 
2009 Strategy -0.7% -10.7% 4.3% -2.1% -1.1% 7.5% 5.7% 1.6% 0.9% -1.9% 5.3% 5.4% 13.7%
Benchmark -0.2% -12.5% 1.9% 1.2% 3.6% 5.4% 3.8% 1.0% 1.4% -3.2% 4.8% 5.5% 11.7%
Relative Return -0.5% 1.9% 2.4% -3.2% -4.7% 2.2% 1.9% 0.6% -0.5% 1.4% 0.5% -0.1% 2.0%
 
2010 Strategy -2.8% -0.2% 2.7% 4.3% -4.8% 1.5% 7.1% 2.0% 3.1% 1.3% -1.7% 1.4% 14.1%
Benchmark -4.8% -1.3% 2.7% 2.6% -5.5% -0.7% 7.5% 1.4% 2.9% 1.1% -3.0% 3.1% 5.3%
Relative Return 2.0% 1.1% -0.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.2% -0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 1.3% -1.7% 8.8%
 
2011 Strategy 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 3.7% 2.2% -0.4% -1.1% 0.9% 2.8% 2.3% 2.1% 4.2% 20.6%
Benchmark 1.2% 1.2% 0.2% 4.0% 2.1% -0.1% -0.9% 2.2% 0.2% 3.7% 1.0% 3.3% 19.6%
Relative Return -0.1% -0.1% -0.2% -0.3% 0.0% -0.2% -0.2% -1.3% 2.6% -1.3% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9%
 
2012 Strategy -3.6% -0.4% 2.1% 2.4% 0.8% 3.1% 1.3% -4.2% 1.1% 1.8% -3.0% 0.3% 1.6%
Benchmark -3.6% 0.6% 1.4% 1.8% 0.6% 4.1% 2.5% -4.1% 1.2% 1.4% -4.3% -0.0% 1.0%
Relative Return -0.0% -1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% -1.0% -1.2% -0.0% -0.0% 0.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.5%
 
2013 Strategy 6.0% 2.5% 4.8% 4.6% -9.9% 1.8% 3.3% -5.4% 2.1% 4.5% -1.7% 0.8% 12.9%
Benchmark 4.8% 2.3% 5.4% 6.0% -9.1% 0.9% 4.3% -5.0% 1.1% 3.8% -1.9% 0.9% 13.1%
Relative Return 1.3% 0.2% -0.5% -1.4% -0.8% 0.9% -1.0% -0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% -0.1% -0.1%
 
2014 Strategy 4.1% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% -1.1% 4.3% -6.5% 3.1% -1.2% 7.3% 1.6% 4.5% 32.3%
Benchmark 3.0% 3.5% 3.4% 4.2% -1.1% 4.4% -6.8% 4.9% -1.9% 8.0% 1.2% 3.6% 28.7%
Relative Return 1.2% 0.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% -0.1% 0.3% -1.8% 0.7% -0.7% 0.4% 0.9% 3.6%
 
2015 Strategy 3.1% -7.8% -1.8% 0.1% -0.5% -5.2% 7.1% -3.5% 4.1% 0.2% -2.4% 2.6% -4.9%
Benchmark 2.3% -6.4% -1.0% -0.5% 0.6% -6.0% 6.1% -3.5% 2.9% 1.1% -2.1% 2.1% -4.9%
Relative Return 0.7% -1.4% -0.8% 0.6% -1.1% 0.7% 1.0% -0.0% 1.2% -0.9% -0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
 
2016 Strategy 5.0% 3.0% 8.1% -3.6% 0.9% 8.5% -0.3% -5.5% -0.2% 0.8% -5.8% 4.7% 15.4%
Benchmark 4.9% 1.9% 8.0% -2.4% 1.5% 7.6% -0.7% -5.5% 0.4% 0.9% -5.4% 4.9% 16.1%
Relative Return 0.0% 1.1% 0.1% -1.1% -0.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% -0.6% -0.1% -0.3% -0.2% -0.7%
 
2017 Strategy 2.3% 3.1% 1.2% -0.3% 2.9% -3.2% 2.0% 2.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 10.3%
Benchmark 1.3% 5.3% -0.1% 0.8% 4.1% -2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0%
Relative Return 1.0% -2.2% 1.3% -1.0% -1.2% -0.5% -0.5% -0.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A -3.7%
 
Monthly Turnover For Strategy By Year
JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2000 66.3% 16.2% 21.5% 42.2% 34.7% 33.7% 34.8% 65.9% 26.9% 23.6% 13.2% 20.4% 399.5%
2001 53.2% 12.5% 11.9% 40.6% 12.4% 11.0% 16.0% 8.6% 19.2% 11.8% 24.6% 5.0% 226.9%
2002 22.2% 8.7% 17.6% 14.7% 27.4% 10.3% 66.7% 17.8% 8.9% 13.5% 39.9% 26.5% 274.2%
2003 26.3% 19.7% 7.2% 25.3% 34.0% 42.2% 35.3% 59.2% 34.6% 40.0% 38.5% 71.4% 433.8%
2004 24.2% 38.1% 18.6% 22.3% 27.3% 16.3% 11.9% 22.9% 8.6% 40.2% 50.3% 46.3% 327.1%
2005 22.7% 18.2% 32.0% 11.2% 33.8% 16.3% 38.8% 49.5% 29.3% 35.1% 37.9% 13.1% 337.9%
2006 22.1% 21.5% 14.5% 16.7% 84.3% 55.7% 26.7% 25.5% 43.7% 52.1% 50.9% 34.9% 448.6%
2007 21.1% 23.0% 40.6% 24.7% 15.2% 35.0% 38.1% 54.0% 3.8% 19.6% 11.2% 24.8% 311.1%
2008 12.1% 11.7% 12.2% 9.4% 16.9% 31.2% 17.6% 25.4% 53.7% 176.6% 32.4% 4.5% 403.7%
2009 26.5% 14.4% 59.6% 6.5% 9.7% 36.7% 21.0% 3.5% 37.4% 16.0% 20.9% 15.6% 267.9%
2010 11.6% 18.6% 43.3% 20.1% 24.1% 20.4% 7.4% 19.9% 15.0% 29.7% 25.9% 38.3% 274.5%
2011 27.2% 39.0% 58.7% 10.8% 15.4% 48.7% 25.2% 51.7% 12.0% 19.9% 15.5% 12.7% 336.8%
2012 45.3% 26.7% 24.4% 31.3% 48.9% 15.5% 34.8% 16.9% 43.8% 31.5% 47.2% 39.0% 405.3%
2013 41.8% 61.0% 32.7% 43.8% 18.3% 40.3% 40.1% 27.1% 27.9% 31.8% 42.6% 28.7% 436.1%
2014 40.5% 27.8% 35.3% 29.1% 42.8% 30.8% 57.6% 25.9% 23.1% 24.0% 54.8% 21.8% 413.4%
2015 33.3% 25.6% 10.4% 12.2% 12.9% 38.8% 29.3% 39.2% 27.3% 7.7% 17.7% 46.4% 300.9%
2016 8.0% 7.4% 27.0% 16.1% 57.8% 44.3% 33.2% 41.1% 48.9% 25.0% 28.0% 28.5% 365.3%
2017 15.2% 42.7% 27.2% 12.7% 65.2% 25.0% 18.7% 29.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A 236.2%
  

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Information presented herein is hypothetical and solely for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer to buy or a solicitation of an offer to sell any security or other investment product. Though we have endeavored to present the information contained herein from sources believed to be reliable, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information and make no warranties or representations as such.

All investments involve risks that an investor should fully understand and be willing to bear. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns, and investing can result in partial or complete loss of invested capital. Such risks can be magnified to the extent leverage is deployed in the pursuit of potentially higher returns.

To the extent investment returns are presented, such investment returns are either hypothetically backtested or reflect a perpetual paper trading simulation and are labeled as such. Returns are presented as net returns of transaction costs, slippage and short borrowing costs (when applicable). Investment returns are also net of Neuravest standard annualized management fees of 40 basis points (on Assets Under Management) and 10% performance fee on excess return above an 8% hurdle. Investment returns presented reflect the reinvestment of dividends and other earnings, however they do not account for taxes that an investor may owe as a result of any investment gains. Investors may incur taxes as a result of investing, and may pay different transaction costs to the ones presented to the broker-dealer executing the transactions for their account(s).

Hypothetical backtested returns are simulated, retroactive, and created using the benefit of hindsight to a select period of time, and are thus inherently not as reflective of actual historical returns. Any hypothetical backtested returns are based on the following assumptions and criteria:

  • Actual price was available for execution
  • Capacity and daily float was supportive of volume traded.
  • Transaction cost and slippage are reflective of real-world brokerage fees.

Hypothetical backtested returns do not reflect actual trading and do not reflect the impact that material economic and market factors may have had on Neuravest’s algorithmic decision-making at the time.

To the extent investment performance is compared to one or more indexes, investors should be aware that one cannot invest directly into an index (a simulated basket of securities that do not reflect fees, costs, or taxes that an investor may actually incur).

Neuravest Research and its affiliates do not provide tax, legal or accounting advice. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, tax, legal or accounting advice. You should consult your personal tax, legal and accounting advisors before engaging in any transaction.

Asset allocation/diversification or hedging does not guarantee a profit or protect against a loss.

Hypothetical backtest results, past performance is not indicative of future returns. Results are net of transactions' cost as well as of subscription fees of 40bps on AUM plus performance fee of 10% on excess return above an 8% hurdle.
Results are effective as of the last day of the backtest.

Performance fees may vary depending upon executed leverage.

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